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NFL Week 12 picks, odds: Patriots destroy Titans, Lions take first win for Dan Campbell

Many thanks to everyone who reads this column or listens to the Pick Six Podcast. And if you do, you probably know I’m 73,462 miles deep into the Thanksgiving journey we begin every year. So I’ll pick the Thanksgiving games, bet my best, and go full John Breech (Subscribe to his newsletter here!) with “also” on some selects.

Most likely any editor reading this will thank for less than a few thousand words to parse. It’s been a pretty big week from ATS’ perspective – it’s the first time we’ve seen a double-digit spread of zero across the entire spectrum. NFL I believe it will be in a few weeks. It feels like there might be some sauce left.

It could just be the gravy talking. Hope everyone has an enjoyable (and beneficial!)

Alle NFL Odds passeren Caesars Sportsbook

NFL Week 12-keuzes

Donderdag, 12:30 ET
TV:
VOS | Actueel: fuboTV (klik hier)
Monitor: CBS Sports-app

Laatste tarief:

Detroit Leeuw +2.5

There’s been a lot of buzz swirling around about this being Matt Nagy’s last game (obviously regardless of whether the Bears win or not) but Chicago didn’t actually fire the mid-season coach, so that would come as a surprise. . Chanting “Fire Nagy” while the coach is attending his son’s high school football game – as a DAD, mind you – is absolutely classless. Don’t do that. What you should do is bet on the Lions in this game. Detroit has a pretty injured Bears team to start Andy Dalton and no Khalil Mack. Somehow, Dan Campbell needs a win more than Matt Nagy. Jared Goff is good to go. There should be more catch for D’Andre Swift and TJ Ho Chickenon in this game. Swift’s favorite over getting dumps props.

Selectie: Leeuw 24, Beer 17

Rekwisieten, beste weddenschappen: Lion +3

Zondag, 4:30 ET
TV:
CBS | Actueel: Paramount + (klik hier)

Somehow, I found a prop with the list Ezekiel Elliott at 3-1 for most yards on Thursday (between him, Swift, Josh Jacobs and David Montgomery). He may be off limits, but no one celebrates like Zeke when it comes to Turkey Day. Complement it with a variety of Tony Pollard Break through the javelin and have a nice little window to hit both of those bets. I’m joining the Raiders here but not confident. There’s a really good chance for Dallas to congratulate Las Vegas and Derek Carr and Co. completed their season max with two wins before that goodbye. With Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb There’s a chance I’ll take out the Raiders with the hook. It seems to stink more every time I look at it. I feel much more comfortable using Cowboys in parlays on the paylines than actually betting on this spread. I’ll take all three below on Thursday, but this one is the scariest.

Selectie: Cowboys 28, Raiders 21

Rekwisieten, beste weddenschappen: Tony Pollard narrated, the best Zeke in Turkey Rush Yards

Welke keuze kunt u met vertrouwen maken? Super Bowl Rivals gaan hard ten onder? Bezoek SportsLine nu om te zien welke teams hebben gewonnen en de dekking, allemaal van een bewezen computermodel en sinds de oprichting bijna $ 7,300 hebben opgehaald.

Donderdag, 8:20 ET
TV:
NBC | Actueel: fuboTV (klik hier)
Monitor: CBS Sports-app

Laatste tarief:

New Orleans Saints + 7

Tony Jones, Jr. is the bet you place on the first touch down, any time touch down and multiple touches down in this game. Alvin Kamara get out and Mark Ingram may not play. Jones could be the first deep into the late zone for New Orleans and his prices are excellent. He will be the lightning rod for the DFS with his possession, protecting the Bills and Saints OL’s wounds. The Bills got stuck in the truck by Colts last week but it’s been a great time for them with all the trauma New Orleans is facing. Love the bottom price and Invoice here, as long as it’s -6 or below.

Selectie: Bills 28, Saints 17

Wedden: Under, Invoice

Zondag, 1:XNUMX ET
TV:
VOS | Actueel: fuboTV (klik hier)

Laatste tarief:

Indianapolis Colts +3

Honestly this line absolutely stinks. Colts are getting strong and Jonathan Taylor is getting MVP hype. And he is a dog at home to brave cat but is it just enough to make you want to REALLY bet on the seven-time Super Bowl champion? The right. This is a principle play, to quote my boys from the Cover-3 team. I got Brady -2.5. Let’s not forget how much he dislikes this franchise after a few Peyton Manning battles. Bucs are also receiving Vita Vea back and he turned them into the best defense in the league.

Selectie: Bucs 24, Colts 17

Wedden: Bucs -3

Zondag, 1:XNUMX ET
TV:
VOS | Actueel: fuboTV (klik hier)

Laatste tarief:

Miami Dolfijnen +2

Carolina is 1) much better team with Orange Newton below center and 2) a much better team than the Dolphins. Did you watch Dolphins last week? They beat a poor, spread and not really excellent opponent. WFT came to take on Carolina and the Panthers can still win it. These two teams are in different ranks. Carolina’s defense had to fumble before last week. I want to bank on three minimum spins here.

Selectie: Panthers 24, Dolphins 10

Wedden: Panthers -1.5

Zondag, 1:XNUMX ET
TV:
CBS | Actueel: Paramount + (klik hier)

Laatste tarief:

New England Patriots -7

This is a spicy game. The Titans have previous losses Jet plane and Texans (it’s hard to read aloud) bookend wins Chief, Invoice, Saint and Rams. Imagine that. I don’t think it applies here, because Bill Belichick is out for revenge. He’s REALLY quiet right now and his team is rolling. The Pats have found their identity – effective play from a savvy young midfielder with a great run and a stealthy defense – and when that happens, the AFC is often in big, very, very bad trouble. big. The line got a little out of hand here. I probably won’t put Pats -7 but I bet Pats -5.5 a lot when it landed. I think New England will make a statement here regarding their intention to seed in the AFC. Belichick knows there are two weeks left before goodbye and he has Tennessee and Buffalo on the schedule. Take a 1-0 lead twice and everything is in front of you.

Selectie: Patriotten 35, Titanen 10

Wedden: Patriottisch -7

Zondag, 4:25 ET
TV:
VOS | Actueel: fuboTV (klik hier)

Laatste tarief:

Green Bay-packers +1

There’s probably nothing scarier when you bet on the Rams this week than seeing Aaron Rodgers squeeze Covid (?) into my home camera to show everyone Pat McAfee Show what it looks like. Normally, I like my opposing midfielders to be less likely to break through the defence I bet on. Rodgers seems increasingly inclined to see this injury as a reason to obliterate the Rams defense. That is very related to my Rams best bet. But I believe the better team will be the better team on Sunday in this position. Green Bay has just had too many injuries on the offensive line – coupled with Aaron Jones affects the explosive factor in the passing game – and Los Angeles should take care of the biz here.

Selectie: Rams 24, Packers 21

Wedden: Rammen -1

As for the rest of my choices – and. more importantly – hot Ryan Wilson choices on nuclear, See our NFL Professional Selection Page. If you have a question about a particular game, we’ve almost certainly shared it on the Pick Six Podcast. And if you still don’t have an answer, visit my Twitter to ask about this week’s games. Happy Thanksgiving!

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